We Predict, They Comply

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May 3, 2016
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Polipundit, February 25th:

I’ve shorted Twitter on principle. I might take any profits I make from that and hang them on the wall as a trophy. Good riddance.

CNN, today

Shares of Twitter fell 2% Tuesday and hit a new all-time low of $13.90.

Twitter is down 40% this year. It is nearly 50% below its IPO price of $26 and more than 80% lower than the peak of $74.73 it hit way back in December 2013 — one month after it went public. (Those were the days!)

In contrast to Twitter, Facebook, whose founder is much more leftist, isn’t censoring conservatives. Yet.

There’s Still One Establishment Candidate in the Republican Primary

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April 30, 2016
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And it’s not Ted Cruz:

While Boehner was surrendering, Donald Trump was backing him to the hilt: a staggering $100,000 contribution to the Congressional Leadership Fund — Boehner’s super PAC, formed largely to fend off conservative primary challenges against GOP establishment loyalists. It should be easy to remember that number, $100,000. It is the same amount Trump gave to the Clinton Foundation. That’s even more than the $60,000 Trump gave to Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, the super PAC of Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell (along with a $5,200 contribution to McConnell’s reelection campaign).

[…]

Trump is actually laying the groundwork for Washington’s panacea, amnesty [for illegal aliens]. Understandably furious at GOP leaders, Trump fans swoon to the charlatan promise of a fortress wall that will never be built, much less paid for by Mexico. Meanwhile, it doesn’t seem to register with these voters that Trump is promising to give legal status to millions of illegal aliens after temporarily deporting them. If we had a responsible media, this would surprise no one. In just the last three years, Trump has tweeted in apparent support of the Gang of Eight immigration bill (the same one that advocacy for which killed Rubio’s campaign) and has urged giving illegal aliens a “path” to legal status — and Trump was willing to grant this “path” under the express but exaggerated assumption that the illegal-alien population was 30 million (it is more likely 11 million, nearly three times less).

Moreover, in 2012, Trump described as “maniacal” and “crazy” a proposal to enforce the immigration laws in a manner that incentivizes illegal aliens to “self-deport.” Yes, only four years ago, the guy who now says he’d round them all up and deport them was complaining that merely pressuring illegal aliens to leave on their own was too “mean-spirited.”

Give The Donald credit: He’s bamboozled millions of voters into believing he’s the opposite of who he really is.

And the Latest Example of RACISM is…

3
April 30, 2016
By

Amazon’s same day shipping!

Amazon’s same-day shipping service often excludes predominantly black neighborhoods in six major cities.

In New York, for example, the service excludes the Bronx which is mostly inhabited by black and Hispanic residents. In Atlanta, same-day deliver covers half of the northern area, which is predominantly white, and leaves out the southern part of the city that has a predominant black population.

[…]

Unlike some organizations which have made delivery decisions based on the composition of neighborhoods, Amazon’s delivery decision aren’t inherently biased, note Bloomberg reporters David Ingold and Spencer Soper. Amazon officials say that its delivery decisions aren’t based on the ethnic composition of a neighborhood, but several factors including the the concentration of Prime members, as well as the proximity of the area to Amazon’s warehouses.

But as Tech Insider writes, the data-and-algorithm-driven system that Amazon uses to determine the numbers for Prime memberships may be reinforcing the bias.

Maybe we should just declare that the universe itself is RACIST, and terminate it immediately.

An Affirmative Action Policy Even I Can Support

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April 28, 2016
By

Apparently, just having more than one atypical applicant in the job applicant pool can dramatically increase the acceptance of atypical applications:

“The odds of hiring a woman were 79.14 times greater if there were at least two women in the finalist pool,” they write. “The odds of hiring a minority were 193.72 times greater if there were at least two minority candidates in the finalist pool.”

Quote of the Day

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April 28, 2016
By

Congresswoman Jackie Speier (D-CA), commenting on a House committee vote to make women register for the military draft:

“If we want equality in this country, if we want women to be treated precisely like men are treated and that they should not be discriminated against, then we should support a universal conscription.”

I agree.

Meanwhile, in Europe…

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April 24, 2016
By

Austrian borders-first party shuts out “mainstream” parties in presidential race for the first time since WWII ended.

Indiana and Pennsylvania

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April 20, 2016
By

Those are the next two important states. In Indiana:

Cruz allies are supremely confident they will win statewide, and hope to carry at least seven of the nine congressional districts. Two of the southern districts bordering Kentucky — the eighth and ninth — are thought to be Trump territory, and the sixth should be highly competitive as well. (Notably, none of those three districts are home to any of the state’s six most populous counties.) All told, with 30 delegates going to the statewide winner, and three to the winner of each congressional district, Cruz advisers are confident that Indiana’s split will look very similar to Wisconsin’s: Cruz 51, Trump six, or potentially Cruz 48, Trump nine.

And in Pennsylvania:

Even if they come in a distant third, a top campaign aide tells me, they will still, they believe, pick up more than half the delegates there.”

“They’re looking at more than 30,” Jackson said.

The Problem with Trump

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April 19, 2016
By

Slate’s Reihan Salam makes the same argument I made:

Leaving aside Trump’s incendiary rhetoric, his approach to immigration policy is confused, contradictory, and often quite stupid. His campaign has issued policy papers outlining one position on, say, skilled immigrant workers only to have Trump take an entirely different stance in his public utterances. Trump has called for establishing a new “deportation force” that captures and removes all unauthorized immigrants from the country, a process that would prove quite expensive and contentious. But he has also said he’d like to allow “the good ones” back into the country. Why go through all that trouble if you intend to put in place what immigration hawks have dubbed a “touchback amnesty”? What separates the good ones from the bad ones?

Trump has failed to clarify these matters, most likely because he’s just making things up as he goes along. Critics of touchback amnesty tend to favor Cruz’s position, which is that governments at all levels should more rigorously enforce immigration laws, which in turn will encourage unauthorized immigrants to return to their native countries. In recent years, slightly more Mexican nationals have been returning to Mexico from the U.S. than moving in the other direction, a return migration that Cruz’s “attrition through enforcement” policy could accelerate. Though I don’t agree with every aspect of Cruz’s position on immigration, it has the virtue of being coherent and defensible, something that can’t be said of Trump’s.

Quote of the Day

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April 19, 2016
By

Rush Limbaugh:

Trump got 47% of the vote in Florida, right? He gets 100% of the delegates.

Does anybody want to say that’s unfair to Cruz? Does anybody want to say that’s unfair to Kasich? Anybody want to say it’s unfair to Rubio? “Why should Trump get all the delegates? He only got 47% of the vote!” I mean, it works both ways here. South Carolina, ditto. In these winner-take-all states, all you have to do is a plurality. Well, you might have to get 50 to get winner-take-all. But even at that, you don’t have to win every vote to get every delegate. So this stuff works both ways here. I realize some don’t want to look at it that way, but you must.

(Via Hot Air)

The Most Powerful Republican Voters Are in…

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April 19, 2016
By

The Bronx??

No district in the nation has fewer Republicans than Ms. Davila’s, which is home to Yankee Stadium. Ms. Davila’s vote on Tuesday will have as much influence over the Republican presidential nomination as the combined votes of 46 Republicans in parts of Illinois:

[…]

The disparities reflect Republican Party rules. Every congressional district in New York is awarded three delegates, which means the Republicans who live in the most liberal areas end up with the most influence per person.

What the Hell is Wrong with the Philippines?

20
April 18, 2016
By

Leading presidential candidate jokes about raping Australian hostage:

Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte was speaking about the killings of 36-year-old Australian Jacqueline Hamill and four other missionaries during a hostage situation at a prison in his city. Soldiers stormed the prison after learning that a male hostage had been killed and female hostages were raped. All 16 convicts and five of the 15 hostages died.

“What came to my mind was they raped her, they took turns raping her,” Duterte said at the rally last Tuesday. “Why did I get angry — because she was raped? Yes, that’s part of the reason, but also because she was so beautiful and the mayor should have been first.”

Another Saturday…

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April 17, 2016
By

… Another delegate bloodbath for Donald “the good people are going to be expedited to come back” Trump.

In addition to fielding only five candidates for Wyoming’s 14 delegates (and losing all the slots), Trump lost 32 out of 42 in Georgia, and all 15 delegates elected today in Florida.

I voted for former Georgia Congressman Bob Barr in 2008, because I couldn’t vote for John “Amnesty” McCain. Nice to see Barr backing a Republican this time.