Trump Leads Clinton in New Polls

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May 19, 2016
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By 3 points and 5 points.

This is worrying for Clinton because she can barely break 40 percent despite universal name recognition.

It’s also worrying for Trump because the low forties may be either a floor or a ceiling on his support.

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

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May 19, 2016
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The president will have supported touchback amnesty.

Trump to Turn Republican National Convention into Must-See TV

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May 18, 2016
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There are advantages to nominating a reality TV star:

“Announcing the vice presidential nominee before the convention is like announcing winner of ‘Celebrity Apprentice’ before the final show is on the air,” one Trump campaign source said. “This is one of the only opportunities to create tension and drama in the whole show. You better believe Mr. Trump understands that and is looking to maximize that.”

Whereas the vice presidential nominee has generally spoken on the third night of the convention and the presidential candidate has taken the stage on the fourth and final night, Trump is considering a scenario that puts him on stage, delivering remarks on all four nights, reaching millions of potential voters, and driving ratings, according to one source.

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

8
May 18, 2016
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Then the president will have said of a female reporter:

“You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes. Blood coming out of her wherever.”

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

10
May 17, 2016
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Then the president will have opposed vaccinating your children.

Chart of the Day

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May 16, 2016
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Support for leaving the EU surged in Britain after Obama endorsed the EU.
20160511_brexit

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

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May 16, 2016
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If Donald Trump Becomes President…

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May 15, 2016
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The president will have pretended to be his own publicist.

Tweet of the Day

5
May 14, 2016
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WaPo reporter James Hohmann, yesterday:

Trump’s line went silent, then dead, this afternoon when WaPo asked: “Did you ever employ someone named John Miller as a spokesperson?”

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

8
May 14, 2016
By

Unfit

65
May 10, 2016
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The Goldwater Theory is Quite Plausible

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May 7, 2016
By

Because of demographic change:

The fundamental problem for the Republicans is that they’re already at a structural disadvantage in the Electoral College. The last six presidential elections have resulted in four very comfortable Democratic victories, a virtual tie resolved by the Supreme Court, and a narrow win by a wartime Republican incumbent in a decent economy—and George W. Bush was still less than 200,000 votes in Ohio away from a loss. The higher turnouts of presidential elections work against the GOP, and changing demographics are only making the problem worse. Barring economic catastrophe, a poor candidate for the Republicans is like handing an anvil to a mountain climber; they can’t really afford even a modest negative impact.