Rove Is Going To Thread The Needle On Tuesday

By Oak Leaf ~ November 1st, 2006 @ 10:46 am

K Lo at The Corner has some insight on Karl Rove and next Tuesday:

A source on a call for business types with Karl Rove a little earlier today reports that Rove is

talking about GOP turnout…”at or close to 2004 levels.” He went through an avalanche of detailed metrics to back up this claim.

Rove also said KY and IN are crucial for us given that the polls there close an hour earlier than other states and will serve as bellweather for the GOP. He is also concerned about media calling these races early based on exit polls, which could impact turnout elsewhere.

On the state of polling, he believes that they have become less accurate over time, given the increased use of cell phones (instead of land lines), caller I.D., and the Do Not Call list.

Listener describes Rove has relaying a “supreme confidence” that Republicans will retain control of both Houses.

What are some of those metrics? Here is a small slice of what is going on in Michigan:

In the closing 2 weeks of 2006 the MRP and the grassroots army will:

Fill 44,243 volunteer shifts to reach out to 1.8 million targeted voters who have yet to vote

Make 3,240,009 phone calls to targeted voters

Knock on more than 360,000 doors of targeted voters

Distribute more than 400,000 signs on behalf of Republican candidates

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