Unfortunately (for the nation, but fortunately for Republicans), I think an increasingly monolithic white vote will be a feature of future elections across the country, as Democrats cater more and more to their core racial constituencies.
That’s why the Midwest went so overwhelmingly Republican in 2010.
Every time Obama defends illegal immigrants, he sends more white voters fleeing into the arms of the GOP.
As in most countries with deep cultural divisions, “diversity” means that American voting will become polarized along racial/ethnic/religious lines. As white voters move towards minority status, they will become an increasingly monolithic voting bloc, just like other minority groups.
Using a nationally representative survey of self-identified politically “independent” whites, Craig and Richeson conducted three experiments. In the first, they asked respondents about the racial shift in California—if they had heard the state had become majority-minority. What they found was a significant shift toward Republican identification, which increased for those who lived closest to the West Coast.
In the second experiment, they focused on the overall U.S. shift with census projections of the national population. Again, they found that white Americans became more conservative—and more likely to endorse conservative policies—when they were aware of demographic changes that put them in the minority.