Election results thread

November 6, 2012

UPDATE: The Ohio exit polls are wrong! According to the 2008 exit polls, 11 percent of voters were black. In 2012, that’s supposed to be 15 percent? If you believe that, I have some embassy security to sell you. The exit polls are wrong. Ohio is very close, with a tiny Romney lean.

According to the latest census, Ohio is 83.6% white and 12.4% black, quite close to the 2008 exit poll numbers.

UPDATE: According to all the TV talking heads, white men are so over. Women and minorities will take over the world!

They’re forgetting a couple of things:

1. As white people slowly become a minority, they’ll vote as a bloc, like other minorities. We’re already seeing that this election; even if Romney loses the election, he’ll win a larger share of white votes than Reagan did.

2. Demographic changes don’t continue indefinitely. As Michael Barone has noted, the Hispanic vote seems to be quite close to its eventual peak.

The only way the conservative/Republican coalition gets broken is if more and more Americans start thinking like Europeans, if they start believing that free condoms are more important than freedom. That is entirely possible. In fact, California has already fallen prey to that trend, and it is the greatest threat facing America today.

UPDATE: On the other hand, Mourdock is running just 4 points behind Mike Pence, who’s a shoo-in for governor. Maybe the news here is Romney’s strength in Indiana, not Mourdock’s weakness… We’ll see.

Getcher election results here! (Senate races here.)

Currently, Richard Mourdock is running 11 points behind Mitt Romney.

116 Responses to Election results thread

  1. Herman on November 6, 2012 at 7:07 pm

    Conservatives, didn’t you learn NOTHING from going batshit crazy senate candidates in Nevada, Delaware, & West Virginia a few years ago?

    Now you’re going to lose what would have been an easy victory in Indiana, all because you hate the fact that Richard Lugar tried to get along with the Dems. You’re going to lose Missouri’s senate race too, having another batshit crazy guy there.

    Your parents never should have fought the local tax increases that would have improved your education.

  2. Pete in CT on November 6, 2012 at 7:08 pm

    This is hope at this point, but-

    Virginia looking better
    NC looking better

    Florida still very close, depends on which votes are outstanding
    Ohio, numbers are closing like in 2004 now down to Obama +104k

    still a chance, not what I had been hoping for after hearing Barone and Morris, but still alive

  3. bonaparte on November 6, 2012 at 7:14 pm

    the big winners tonight are brown republicans like Rubio and Jindal.

  4. bonaparte on November 6, 2012 at 7:17 pm

    florida is lost – chuck todd just confirmed that most outstanding votes in FL are democratic.

    obama already leads outside the margin of recount. remember in 2000 bush was up like 80,000 votes and gore closed all the way to 500 votes. its over.

    i hate how Karl Rove got off the hook – he had no tough confessions or words tonight to explain that this was going down. just had to figure this out by ourselves.

  5. Rda on November 6, 2012 at 7:20 pm

    No hope. We are screwed.

  6. bonaparte on November 6, 2012 at 7:22 pm

    why is rove still failing to address florida? who CARES about Ohio if we lose FL?

  7. bonaparte on November 6, 2012 at 7:23 pm

    he keeps blabbing on about how Romney looks okay in Ohio but continues to ignore Florida. It’s unreal. I think he’s just dodging the tough dialogue.

    • Jerome says Obama wins! on November 6, 2012 at 7:29 pm

      lmao! I thought this was ‘in the bag’ y’all!

  8. BobSmith71 on November 6, 2012 at 7:43 pm

    Romney should have picked Rubio. Florida would have been easy and he might have pulled enough of the Hispanic vote to make the difference in a few other states.

  9. Herman on November 6, 2012 at 7:49 pm


  10. rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 7:53 pm

    Don’t wail stupid capitulationist shit, if you call yourself conservative. There is nothing wrong with the Romney Ryan ticket and if the country doesn’t like it, it’s welcome to burn.

    Don’t feed the commie trolls either. Worthless goddamned lying communists have nothing to offer but malaise and economic deprivation.

    I guess the country wants more of it. Conservatives will always be the survivors.

    • Jim,MtnView,CA,USA on November 6, 2012 at 8:18 pm

      Right on!

  11. rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 7:55 pm

    We will come from behind to win FL and OH narrowly, and CO will decide the matter. The Senate will continue to be a joke but apparently, the voters prefer gay rights and abortion to jobs and opportunity.

    So dry your sissy tears, weepers, and harden your hearts against the American people, because not a goddamned one of them deserves your sympathy. Look to your own instead.

    • Herman on November 6, 2012 at 8:04 pm

      Dream on, guy! Of course, I would have to take a heroic dose of magic mushrooms to get to where you’re at.

  12. Setnaffa on November 6, 2012 at 7:56 pm

    Romans 1:18-32… 😉

  13. Herman on November 6, 2012 at 7:57 pm

    Not a good night for you and your homophobia, conservatives. Welcome a lesbian to the U.S. Senate! And it appears as though gay marriage will become legal in at least 3 more states.

    You can’t stop human progress, conservatives, you can only slow it down. Deal with it.

  14. bonaparte on November 6, 2012 at 7:57 pm

    its definitely over – did you notice in the past hour rove said “romney by 100k in fl” to “within 10k either way” ….. and now even that math doesn’t add up…

    i lost like 7grand tonight and ill lose all 10 if romney doesn’t hang on in NC and VA.

  15. rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 7:58 pm

    These results are a bit shocking obviously, as a self-reliant country would have rejected Ogabe out of hand.

    Look for more job loss as corporations relocate, cut full-time employment, and doctors quit.

    We’ll see how our fellow Americans like that, since they seem to want more of it.

  16. MortimerSnerd on November 6, 2012 at 8:02 pm

    No, Romney ran a great campaign; courageous, principled, eloquent, optimistic. It’s about more fundamental issues. Americans are becoming increasingly less religious, less confident in themselves and the role of their country in the world as an advocate and champion of freedom. The value system is changing, perhaps partly due to indoctrination at schools, universities and most of the media, in favour of relativism and hedonism and away from duty and mission.

    The only consolation I see is that Obama and the democrats are going to have to wear the consequences of their ineptitude and arrogance the next four years. They will have to take responsibility for the impact of Obamacare, weakened national defence, cuts to social services and entitlements due to fiscal crisis and so on. But I’m not sure the pendulum can or will ever swing back. The era of American self-confidence, the ethos of a mission of spreading democracy and freedom, belief in an opportunity society – maybe it’s finally and definitively over.

    I thank everyone on this site who supplied thoughtful analysis over the last months. The blogosphere tends to make people dumber, not more informed, but I have learned a fair amount from the best comments here.

    I wish I were being melodramatic about the American future, but with the choice available, and the choice people have made, I am afraid this is the twilight of the American centuries.

    • Herman on November 6, 2012 at 8:10 pm

      Wrong. Romney ran an extremely deceitful campaign. And ask yourself exactly what your hero has to hide in not revealing tax returns prior to 2010.

      Romney campaigned for greed and for the filthy air that the conservatives love and was defeated by the American people.

  17. Arizona CJ on November 6, 2012 at 8:03 pm

    My take: I think Romney can still pull out a narrow win. I can only note that his popular vote lead has been steadily increasing all night, so I’m thinking the PV will be R 50 O 48, and that’s enough to swing enough EV’s.

    However, no matter the outcome, I’ll say this now: I’m disgusted with America that this was so close. Romney wasn’t my first choice, or even my third, but the clown in the white house has got to go. What we see tonight is half of the electorate voting for higher utility bills, job loss, corruption, and general scum.

    • rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 8:07 pm

      I agree ACJ, however even if Romney wins the Senate results are literally tragic. Ogabecare is the law of the land, now I’ve got to look for an out of country doctor, and prepare for my job to be moved over to part time to avoid the Ogabe care mandates.

      Income and jobs for the 20-30 somethings will really plummet now.

      We just voted ourselves a lot poorer because of a hurricane in New England? Ok then. Let it burn.

      • Arizona CJ on November 6, 2012 at 8:11 pm

        If Romney wins, he can grant all 50 states a waiver of Ocare by executive order. Let the D’s see how much fun it is to have a chief executive keep bypassing congress.

  18. Brent on November 6, 2012 at 8:04 pm

    Damn! What happened to the “LandSlide” we were supposed to have??

  19. Pete in CT on November 6, 2012 at 8:14 pm

    It’s over, Ohio was lost

    • basokla on November 6, 2012 at 8:16 pm

      F us.

    • Arizona CJ on November 6, 2012 at 8:17 pm

      Or stolen

      • rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 8:23 pm

        According to a post on Pat Dollard, Romney’s camp said that their internal polling took an unexpected and sharp 5 point turn toward Ogabe in the last 48 hours, voiding all their hard work and expense in that state.

        Once that happened, only outside chances remained for a path to 270.

        None of us knew that until tonight I guess. The seemingly absurd D+ weightings were in fact closer than anyone realized.

        Ok. Time to start choosing sides and moving.. There will be no jobs.

  20. Rda on November 6, 2012 at 8:20 pm

    Time to flee the country.

    • BobSmith71 on November 6, 2012 at 8:22 pm

      to where? France? Greece?

  21. bonaparte on November 6, 2012 at 8:23 pm

    even though i lost a ton of money, I still don’t think Obama was that bad of a president. What’s more he’ll be held in check by a heavy GOP House. It could be a repeat of Clinton’s 2nd term.

    • rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 8:24 pm

      Yes, at best it could be that, except with inflation and joblessness running wild.

      • Return of the Giant CrapWeasal on November 6, 2012 at 8:27 pm

        2016 — choose a better candidate, GOP.

        • rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 8:28 pm

          Dumbest post of the night right there….Choose a better candidate? Whom?

          • Return of the Giant CrapWeasal on November 6, 2012 at 8:30 pm

            the ignorance is on you, RWH. In 2016, will you support the GOP if they throw up another RINO?

        • rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 8:33 pm

          Name a candidate that could have won in a D+6 national election, faggot. And if you can’t then shut the fuck up.

    • rightwingyahoo on November 6, 2012 at 8:25 pm

      I was about to purchase an expensive automobile, which is now cancelled. Another rifle will be a better choice.

  22. bobo on November 6, 2012 at 8:27 pm

    D+6 tonight and Romney only got 72% of the white vote… Now Ohio may get uncalled??

    • Arizona CJ on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 pm

      D+6… I just don’t believe it. I literally don’t believe it.

      I think this election was stolen.

      • Kamimeni on November 6, 2012 at 10:27 pm

        Were they really able to steal the vote in so many states? Iowa? New Hampshire? Colorado?

  23. Shoulda Went With Paul on November 6, 2012 at 10:20 pm

    THough I had my concerns w/Romney, its obvious now he was the wrong choice. Too much like Obama. Most Real Conservatives stayed home.

  24. Kamimeni on November 6, 2012 at 10:28 pm

    So the original predictions about Romney came through. Attacks as a rich guy. Not a natural conservative. Not a natural campaigner. Very good at giving concession speeches. Would lose closely.