Romney will win 49-48, a half point either way, and the rest going to third parties. Romney’s number will be very similar to Ronald Reagan’s 50 percent in 1980, Jimmy Carter’s 50 percent in 1976, and Richard Nixon’s 50 percent share of the two-party vote in 1968.
Of the swing states, I predict Romney will win North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, and New Hampshire, for a total of 285 electoral votes.
Obama will win Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota, for a total of 253 electoral votes.
In Senate races, Republicans will prevail in Nebraska, North Dakota, Montana, Wisconsin, Virginia, Ohio, Arizona, and Nevada.
Democrat Senate candidates will prevail in Florida, Missouri, Indiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, New Mexico, and Hawaii.
So the Senate will be tied 50-50, and Vice President Paul Ryan will break the ties.
Now volunteer! Then vote!