Cuyahoga voting continues to plunge?

November 4, 2012

Running 14 percent behind their 2008 numbers, Dems needed a big day today. But, according to a WaPo reporter on the scene, it looks like they’ll fall further behind:

Still people in line, but Cuyahoga reports 2,211 voted today by 6 p.m. Total for same day ’08: 3,534. Bad omen for Obama?

UPDATE: Cuyahoga confirms that just 2,536 people voted at the Board of Elections today, a steep drop-off from the same day in 2008.

14 Responses to Cuyahoga voting continues to plunge?

  1. E-Rock on November 4, 2012 at 5:49 pm

    Will Susan Estrich be back on election night claiming her sources in Cuyahoga County will win it for the Democrats again? I remember when she was on TV back in 2004 and wasn’t seen again for a very long time.

    • Hrolf on November 4, 2012 at 9:54 pm

      Susan Estrich was drunk that night. I remember her going “come monnnn Cuyaaaahooggaaa County.

  2. Dismantle ObamaCare on November 4, 2012 at 5:51 pm

    I’m so confused! Either the polls are totally wrong or we’re just deluding ourselves!

    Poli – I have been following you for years. Are we gonna win or what !? Talk me off the ledge!

    • Rafael on November 4, 2012 at 6:23 pm

      The state of the economy…I repeat, the state of the economy wins it for Romney. The twists and turns of polling and early numbers are just distractions at this point.

      • Anonymous un-Paulbot on November 5, 2012 at 12:30 pm

        Agreed and if anyone has any doubts, just keep reminding yourself of the one true fact:

        it’s the economy stupid!

  3. oh boy... on November 4, 2012 at 6:32 pm

    It’s startling the Dems can’t GOTV after all the talk they’ve had about early voting.

    Obama’s not going to get as many votes this year. If the Rs turn out it should be 3+ win.

    And remember John Kerry got more votes in 2004 the Obama did in 2008.

    • nukedad on November 4, 2012 at 8:18 pm

      Nope. Obama got 10m more votes than Kerry did. Obama 69,499,428 – Kerry 59,028,439.

      That said, I agree with your first premise: If we match voter turnout, Romney will win.

      One note of caution, however. Lower early voting doesn’t necessarily translate to lower final turn out. I think it speaks more to less enthusiasm on the part of D’s. Those voters still may turn out by election day. (Let’s hope they don’t)


      • oh boy... on November 4, 2012 at 8:53 pm

        I was talking about Ohio, I should have been more specific.

        And yes I agree with your other points.

    • unclefred on November 5, 2012 at 8:11 am

      Low enthusiasm is not the same as a low turn out voter. While it tends to be true that your high enthusiasm voters will tend to turn out for you regardless of their “normal” turnout potential it doesn’t work that way with low turnout voters.

      Here it the central problem with GOTV operation for your low enthusiasm low turnout voters. They don’t have low enthusiasm, for the most part they desire NOT to vote for your guy. High turnout voters, who vote every election pretty much no matter what, can have zero enthusiasm for your guy, and will still turnout, hold their noses, and vote your way. Unenthusiastic low turnout voters, will lie to your GOTV folks about voting. When you call them because they didn’t show up, they’ll thank you, tell you they are heading out to vote, and go have a beer or watch TV. They aren’t voting for the other guy, because they are your voters, but they really don’t want to vote this time around.

      If it is true that the Democrats have had to get their high turnout voters to vote early to keep their early turnout numbers up (and only they know at this point) it the portents are bad, possibly ugly bad, for them tomorrow.

      We’ll know in about 36 hours.

  4. oh boy... on November 4, 2012 at 8:52 pm

    I was talking about Ohio, I should have been more specific.

  5. Trent J. Telenko on November 4, 2012 at 8:58 pm

    For the wages of pitting Devout Catholic identity with Hard Core Democratic identity, see below —

    Mary Wright has been a devout Catholic and a Democrat her whole life, both erecting Obama signs in her yard and giving out communion in her parish. It never felt like a conflict to her, until this year.

    That’s because she recently received a letter from a fellow parishioner targeting her for her support of President Obama.

    “I don’t really know you,” it said, “but I wonder how you can support a president who has attacked our church, and supports abortion on demand for all nine months of pregnancy.”

    As Wright has discovered, it’s nearly impossible to spend time in Ohio this election year without noticing a surge of activity from Mitt Romney supporters and canvassers who say that values and abortion issues are paramount. Signs near highways encourage voters to stand up for religious freedom, newspaper ads slam Obama on abortion, and cars parked in the vicinity of Republican rallies are plastered with antiabortion literature.


    Wright, who said she opposes abortion but doesn’t think it is her place to make such personal decisions for other people, said she was quitting her parish and finding one more accepting. “All they talk about is abortion,” she said about her church. <b."I feel like as a Catholic for Obama, I have been totally discriminated against."

    How typical Democrat, “I can’t get my way, you don’t like me, it must be discrimination.”

    This is where the Democrats blew it in Ohio.

    No amount of hard core Democratic partisan GOTV is going to make a dent in the Ohioans who are Catholic and Evangelical religious identity first, over party affiliation.

    The non-acceptance of anyone who puts Democratic identity ahead of Catholic identity is just beginning.

    Abortion issue galvanizes voters in battleground Ohio

    Religious activists are spurred to campaign in support of Republican Mitt Romney. ‘I’m more jazzed up this year than any other election year,’ says one.
    By Alana Semuels, Los Angeles Times

    November 4, 2012, 1:05 a.m.,0,2991763.story

  6. Goonions on November 4, 2012 at 9:13 pm

    I am hoping and praying that Dem turnout on election day runs way way behind 2008. I thin R turnout will be way above 08. We will see soon. I will be glad when all of this is over.

    • Anonymous un-Paulbot on November 5, 2012 at 12:36 pm

      I’m already glad because I have faith that Obama will be defeated and America can begin to heal.

  7. RedStateGal on November 5, 2012 at 6:52 am

    I was very unmotivated to vote for McCain. Even now, after four years of Obama, I abhor the idea of President McCain. I can’t wait to vote for Romney. But Romney was my primary pick in 2008 so I am not settling tomorrow!

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