Muhlenberg college confirms this morning’s poll, of which I was skeptical: Obama leads by 3 in a D+4 sample. 2008 saw a D+7 electorate; so Romney might indeed win this year.
Also, Republican Senate candidate Tom Smith has spent $17 million of his own money. Add that to Romney and outside groups’ $12 million, and Republicans have made an enormous investment in Pennsylvania this year, an investment the broke Democrats cannot match. No wonder they have Bill Clinton spending all his time in PA tomorrow.