Off topic of Axelrod being an A**hole, but related to polls -
Very interesting comments by Pat Caddell a few minutes ago on Fox. The discussion was about how Obama has a slight advantage and an easier path to 270 EV. Near the end of the discussion, Caddell mentioned that with all of the polls this close, the election may take on the characteristics of 1976.
Near the end of October, Ford overcame his gaffe in the 2nd debate and pulled ahead by 1% in the final Gallup poll – 49-48.
Caddell mentioned that over the last weekend of 1976 it appears that the American voters reflected on the past 4 yrs to make a final decision as to whether or not they would keep Ford in office.
That decision was no – Ford lost 1 pt from his final Gallup number dropping to 48 and Carter picked up 2 pts to 50. (Undecideds???) Carter won the closest election (final EV total) at that point 297EV-240EV since Wilson in 1916.
Let’s hope history repeats and this is 1980 all over again, but if not, I’ll take a repeat of 1976 at this point.
I’ll take a repeat of 1976 at this point
Don’t buy into the hype. It won’t be as close as the media liars want you to believe.
I’m thinking the election may be called for Romney before west coast polls close.
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Which Senate seats will switch parties in 2014?