Check out Unskewed Polls’ take on the swing states, which I find somewhat credible.
I would love to see some of the candidates internal polling. Most of these public polls are skewed… and unreliable when its this close. I have a hard time believing that PA or OH will go Republican. This is based on four years ago when Obama spoke out so strongly against coal… before the election. This said, Obama going to PA this late in the game screams of panic… (and Biden going to MN???) We will know in three days if the Republic is completely lost or not. Though I am not convinced a Romney victory can save the republic; but I look forward to being wrong.
The idiots that voted for Obama in 08 didn’t care what he said in 08. They care today because they are now living with an Obama economy. Gas prices, electricity prices higher. Fewer jobs, especially in the coal industry, have taken a toll. People who didn’t really listen to what Obama was saying in 08 are listening now and they don’t like what they are hearing. Yes, Ohio will go for Romney. I live in central Ohio and I can tell you except for Columbus proper most of central Ohio will NOT be voting for Obama.
Four years ago Obama could have come out in favor of wife beating and he would have won the election. People are paying more attention this time and fewer whites will vote for him out of guilt. The electorate will be slightly older and the difference in party Id smaller. and the one thing that all polls seem to agree on is that mitt will win independent vote. This all points toward either or pa and Ohio going for mitt.
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Which Senate seats will switch parties in 2014?