The best part: It’s not from two weeks ago.
I think Florida is a LOCK. I am much more nervous about Ohio and VA. I think we take Colorado or Iowa.
Why does Rasmussen have them tied?! Damn this country!
I think this is less 1980, more 1976. I’m fine with that – we’ll still have Congress if that happens.
I agree. This election was always going to be a replay of 1976 or 2004. My view is that the popular vote will be even closer than either of those years. Under 2. Closer to one. That does not change the house much either way. Unfortunately looks like the senate is going to be a wash. Unless the libertarian voters in Indiana and Missouri switch back to the respective republican candidate.
I’m still thinking Romney with over 300 EC votes and a lot more Senators than most polls indicate…
People are sick of of Democrats looting their property.
The Youth vote isn’t coming in for Obama and the Tea Party vote is coming in for Romney.
Independents will be coming in for Romney in the low single digits in Blue states, the high single digits in Swing states and the low double digits in Red states.
We are going to be somewhere between 2004 and 2010 in terms of relative party turn out.
That puts Romney somewhere north of 300 in the electoral college with a 5-to-7% voter margin.