Poll: Obama leads by 7!!

May 15, 2012
By

In the Arkansas Democrat primary:

A new poll of Arkansas Democrats shows Barack Obama receiving support from only 45 percent of Democratic primary voters in Arkansas’s Fourth Congressional District, while 38 percent support his underfunded and relatively unknown primary challenger, Tennessee lawyer John Wolfe, Jr. Seventeen percent are undecided in the district poll.

In an interview with THE WEEKLY STANDARD, Wolfe said the poll results were “unbelievable” and said a defeat for Obama in the Arkansas primary would be “politically cataclysmic.”

5 Responses to Poll: Obama leads by 7!!

  1. anonymous un-RINO on May 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

    This hurts Obambi, because it probably means next door Missouri isn’t in play this election, which is the real prize in that region. Willard needs to work right on up the Mississippi to Missouri and Iowa, in order to have a chance.

  2. Ex-pat in Oz on May 15, 2012 at 3:21 pm

    headline threw me! nice bait & switch poli! ; )

  3. unclefred on May 15, 2012 at 5:20 pm

    Missouri is not in play and has never been in play this election cycle. Neither will Iowa be in play by November.

    un-RINO – “have a chance”? The Republican nominee has always been the likely winner. When Obama is losing between 10% and 15% of Democrats and running behind among independents, he is facing a very strong headwind for reelection. My advice would be to avoid letting your distaste for RINOs from coloring your assessment of this election. At this point the election is Romney’s to lose, and he might but his RINO aspects are not going to cause that. Barring a gaff or a poor response to Obama’s smear tactics he is positioned to win this and possibly win big.

  4. Arizona CJ on May 15, 2012 at 6:44 pm

    No offense to anyone, but when it comes to the general election, EVERYONE seems to be ignoring the 800 pound gorilla in the room: two facts;
    #1, Obama has to run a negative campaign. It’s his only shot. He’s already doing it, and doing it to a degree that we even have CNN anchors accusing the Obama campaign of smearing Romney. Going dirty is Obama’s only shot, so of course he’s doing it.

    #2, Obama’s one big strong point is his likability factor. Many of us here (me included) can’t stand him, but the fact remains: he has high likability ratings (around a 2-1 advantage over Romney), and that helps him, a lot. (yes, yes, he can’t be that likable, even to Democrats, to be doing as badly as he is in some uncontested primaries, but it is his #1 strength, ask any political annalist.).

    Now here’s the 800 pound gorilla that both sides seem to be ignoring: What happens to a candidate’s likability rating, every time, when they run a sharply negative, mudslinging campaign? It plummets, that’s what, and their negatives skyrocket. I’ve yet to find one contrary example.

    I think this will be a major factor within three months, seen as a slow but steady erosion in Obama’s likability polling, and job approval rating. It will become even more of a factor in early fall, when independents are making up their minds.

  5. anonymous un-RINO on May 16, 2012 at 4:21 am

    Missouri is not in play and has never been in play this election cycle.

    No? Does your magic RINO decoder ring tell you that? Because the rest of us, you know, those of us who actually pay attention to hard data and facts and not our decoder rings, understand that Missouri is and has been in play this election cycle. But perhaps, rather than your magic decoder ring, you can point we conservatives to some hard data and facts to support your RINO fantasy? No? No hard data and facts? Well, I guess we’ll just have to take the word of every bit of data and Cook/Rothenberg/Sabato analysis, and accept that Missouri is in play. No offense to you RINOs and your decoder rings, of course.

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    Neither will Iowa be in play by November.

    So your magic decoder ring predicts the future as well as decipher the present? You need to market that thing. The rest of us are stuck with hard data. Silly us.

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    The Republican nominee has always been the likely winner.

    Well, you’re finally on to something intelligent, RINO. It must have been an accident. Yes, we conservatives have understood that this was an unloseable election, since the 3rd quarter of 2009. But you RINOs are doing your darnedest to lose it. You see, you types are well capable of losing an unloseable election. You’ve done it before. This is your biggest challenge, however. It’s an election so impossible to lose that it will require a superhuman RINO effort to lose it. But I’m certain you RINOs are up to the task. Good luck. You’re doing fine so far. Your boy Willard is the perfect choice to execute your mission.

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    At this point the election is Romney’s to lose, and he might but his RINO aspects are not going to cause that. Barring a gaff or a poor response to Obama’s smear tactics he is positioned to win this and possibly win big.

    Does your tingling RINO leg tell you that Willard can “win big” in the electoral college, or is it your magic future predicting decoder ring this time?

    Sorry, RINO, but as anybody who follows politics understands, it is an impossibility for Willard to “win big”. I can walk you through the numbers, but you seem incapable of processing facts and hard data. Your feeble past attempts at “analysis” of polling, and glaring blunders and flounderings exposed at same, indicate that you live in a data free zone. I’d suggest you spend a bit of time with the aforementioned Cook/Rothenberg/Sabato types, and see if any of that sinks in. I doubt it will, as your tingling leg and magic ring seems to overpower such analysis.

    I want to be kind, but as you’ve chosen to make this personal somehow, let me tell you that I find you to be one of the stupidest RINO hacks around. You know almost nothing about politics, and seem to spend your time bleating and cheerleading like a schoolgirl for whichever RINO hack has a little “R” after their name. It’d likely be best for you to leave my name out of your posts, as you seem to be incapable of providing any hard data, facts and historical analysis required to support your plaintive RINO bleatings, and the only response we conservatives can give you types is scorn.

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