Why Obama’s attacks on the Supreme Court won’t help him

April 5, 2012
By

Nate Silver explains:

The theory seems to rest on the notion that Mr. Obama could use the health care bill to rally his base, either by railing against the Supreme Court or by trying to advance a new plan.

There are a few basic problems with it:

1. Mr. Obama does not face a major problem with his base, but his standing is tenuous with swing voters.

2. Among swing voters, the health care bill is not very popular.

3. The Supreme Court declaring the health care bill unconstitutional will not make it more popular among swing voters.

6 Responses to Why Obama’s attacks on the Supreme Court won’t help him

  1. ATTILA on April 5, 2012 at 7:39 am

    4.~~The Supreme Court declaring the health care bill constitutional will not make it even more despicable among swing voters.

  2. MikeN on April 5, 2012 at 8:07 am

    He needs to rile up his base to ensure that his vote packing is not reported.

  3. ATTILA on April 5, 2012 at 8:17 am

    4.~~The Supreme Court declaring the health care bill constitutional will make it even more despicable among swing voters.

  4. unclefred on April 5, 2012 at 9:18 am

    It’s more than just the attitude that the swing voters have about Obamacare, it is also their attitude about Obama’s attack on the court. Among the electorate, swing voters tend to have the highest approval of the court. The attitude of the left varies with their perception of the political alignment of the court. The attitude of the right varies with their perception of the degree to which the court abides by the constitution. So at this point the left hates the court for being, in their view, “conservative extremists” and the right is dissatisfied with the court for not being conservative enough and for a number of recent decisions like Kelo.

    Attacking the court may play to his base, but it makes swing voters very uneasy. This is especially true because of the strident tone of his comments. Being forced to back off by the 5th circuit, makes him look weak and petulant. This reminds swing voters of how different Obama is as president, from what he promised to be in 2008.

    My guess is that Obama and his handlers thought that the attack was safe because the SCOTUS would not allow itself to be dragged into an open political fight, and if they did they would lose much of their gravitas and would be paint as unelected politicians in black robes. Obama and co were correct about the SCOTUS, but they never expected a federal circuit court to nail them. Huge miscalculation with repercussions which will continue right up to election day as people are reminded that arm twisting judges is part and parcel to Chicago politics.

  5. Sandra Fluke's Uterus on April 5, 2012 at 9:51 am

    5.~~SCOTUS declaring Obamacare unconstitutional will make Obama look like even more of a Solyndra-type FAILURE in the eyes of swing voters with yet another massive FAILURE hanging around his neck right before a big election.

    Obama is f*cked either way. And he has nobody to blame but himself.

  6. Carl on April 5, 2012 at 11:50 am

    I didn’t know that people were claiming it would rally the base OR make the issue more popular with swing voters. I thought the logic was that striking down Obamacare would make it less salient with swing voters (and the election less important in the eyes of Republicans). Of course this is further evidence of the idiocy at the heart of the left: they should stop talking about a politically losing issue.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *