Proved: Newt would make a weak general election candidate

January 17, 2012

The numbers:

Two national polls conducted in the last few days, by CNN and Fox, asked the core question of whether voters had a favorable or unfavorable view of the candidates. Romney is at 43 percent favorable to 42 percent unfavorable in one poll, and 45 percent favorable to 38 percent unfavorable in the other, giving him an average of a +4 percent favorability. President Obama is at 49 percent favorable to 49 percent unfavorable and 51 percent to 46 percent, for a +2.5 percent average. Santorum isn’t far behind, with numbers that would put him within striking distance in a fall campaign, especially given that he’s still less well known: He’s at 31 percent favorable to 34 percent unfavorable, and 31 percent to 36 percent, for an average of -4 percent.

So, there are three candidates at +4 percent, +2.5 percent, and -4 percent, all well within competitive bounds of one another. Newt Gingrich? He’s at 28 percent favorable to 58 percent unfavorable in one poll, 27 percent to 56 percent in the other—averaging -29.5 percent. Yes, -29.5 percent.

Newt Gingrich should never be underestimated. Perhaps he could even recover from a -29.5 percent unfavorability rating. But it’s quite a stretch for Gingrich to claim that he has an obviously better chance to win than Rick Santorum, either against Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.

9 Responses to Proved: Newt would make a weak general election candidate

  1. Czonk72 on January 17, 2012 at 6:33 am

    What, no stirring defense of your boy Romney after he had his worst debate ever?


    Good to know your guy thinks tax returns only should matter to voters after Super Tuesday.

  2. Lyle on January 17, 2012 at 7:33 am

    Romney I pretty much inevetible, which I don’t really think is a good thing, but my next question is who will be his running mate. I am betting Santorum

  3. unclefred on January 17, 2012 at 10:43 am

    You are thinking about winning PA, right? I can think of no other reason for Romney to pick someone who was on that stage last night

  4. Evan3457 on January 17, 2012 at 11:44 am

    Romney is not going to pick a competitor. Nor will he pick Christie.

    Mitch Daniels is more likely; they’re trying to set Daniels up for, they hope, 2020.

  5. anonymous un-RINO on January 17, 2012 at 11:49 am

    Yeah, Willard looked like a SCOAMF last night.

    Obambi and Axlerod would eat this crapweasel alive in a general election.

  6. kellsbells on January 17, 2012 at 11:52 am

    I wouldn’t discount Newt after the debate.
    Seems as though many people go by debates. Then again, with these polls, maybe they’ve got their hearts set on a particular candidate already…..

  7. Festus on January 17, 2012 at 1:17 pm

    Why did Santorum advocate felons voting?

  8. MikeN on January 17, 2012 at 1:50 pm

    Proved: Romney would make a weak general election candidate.

    Obama leads Romney 49-44.

    It’s not as if Obama’s suddenly become popular. He remains under water with 47% of voters approving of him to 50% who disapprove. But Romney’s even less popular, with only 35% rating him favorably while 53% have a negative opinion of him. Over the last month Romney’s seen his negatives with independents rise from 46% to 54%, suggesting that the things he has to say and do to win the Republican nomination aren’t necessarily helping him for the general. Obama’s turned what was a 45-36 deficit with independents a month ago into a 51-41 advantage.

  9. MikeN on January 17, 2012 at 1:54 pm

    Mitt Romney while campaigning to black groups said
    “Who let the dogs out.”