Poll: How many House seats will the GOP pick up in 2012?

September 17, 2011
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11 Responses to Poll: How many House seats will the GOP pick up in 2012?

  1. artist on September 17, 2011 at 6:53 am

    Obama will DECIMATE the down ticket.

    NY and NV was an early viewing.

  2. Steve on September 17, 2011 at 10:43 am

    Obama will DECIMATE the down ticket.

    Yup. 0bama’s negative coat-tails will crush the dimTurds.

    The folks working the suicide hotlines will have a big backlog of liberal callers.
    :mrgreen:

  3. edward on September 17, 2011 at 11:25 am

    The folks working the suicide hotlines will have a big backlog of liberal callers.

    Steve you say that like it is a bad thing…… arn’t the economic policies of lefties suicidal?

  4. Steve on September 17, 2011 at 11:38 am

    “Steve you say that like it is a bad thing”

    Heh, I don’t want the liberals dead, Edward…

    …just deported to Libya :twisted:

    They wouldn’t even need to change their handle all that much:

    “Libyarals”

    :razz:

  5. invalid10 on September 17, 2011 at 12:00 pm

    Rasmussen twitter.

    RasmussenPoll Scott Rasmussen
    Interesting changes in race for the GOP nomination. Listen LIVE on The Rasmussen Report Radio Show (Sun, 3:06pm ET)… tinyurl.com/RRadio1
    5 hours ago

  6. Gerry Owen on September 17, 2011 at 12:03 pm

    I’m on the less than 10 right now-
    Historically, after a wave election like 2010, a few seats will revert back to losing party,
    However, this administration is so bad, and the increasingly apparent reality that their platform and its underlying ideology are fatally flawed makes me think we may coninue the wave from last election a little further.
    We will trade a few , but come out ahead.

  7. ATTILA on September 17, 2011 at 12:40 pm

    We should pick a dozen or so just on re districting alone.

  8. anonymous un-RINO on September 17, 2011 at 1:01 pm

    Yeah, a clever redistricting might bring on a good number of seats. It could potentially bring on an extra seat wherever the R’s have full control.

    But reapportionment of seats doesn’t always do what you think it might. Incumbents tend to create new districts to herd their opposition into, so they can stay incumbent. It’s not like they’re always interested in building additional competitive districts that their own party might win. The new districts could work out to be just a pure split.

    Gerrymandering is first and foremost an incumbency protection racket, and it’s a bipartisan racket. That’s one of the reasons that NY-9 district flipped the other day. Once Weiner exposed his weiner, that district was likely going to be cut out anyways. Even if that lefty had won, he was dead meat, by his own party’s hands, because he wasn’t a full fledged member of the incumbency club. I bet the new R guy goes down as well, because his compadres will likely be just as loyal as the D’s were to their guy.

    Still, I think 20+ seats are gonna flip to the R’s, because the Left is that weak right now.

  9. Steve on September 17, 2011 at 1:11 pm

    Past history won’t be a good indicator for 2012, Gerry :neutral:

    Nothing in past history (within our lifetimes anyway) has been as bad as 0bama and the Abject Failures of the liberal progressive ideology.

    …It’s bad enough that their failures & corruption are off the chart,
    …It’s bad enough that the’ve wrecked the economy & killed jobs,
    but their absolute Tone-Deaf arrogance will be their downfall

    And Attila is correct — the GOP Tsunami of 2010 setup for the “perfect storm” in redistricting efforts leading up to 2012. 0bama is toast (we know this), but his negative coat-tails are likely to squash these liberal cockroaches into the ground.
    :lol:

  10. Gerry Owen on September 17, 2011 at 2:40 pm

    I didn’t even consider Redistricting. That will be good for at least 3 out of Texas alone….

  11. unclefred on September 19, 2011 at 12:32 pm

    Redistricting is about the next decade, not the next election. Most of the redistricting in states where the Republicans have control is being used to protect marginal seats won in 2010, not to make additional seats competitive. This does not apply as much to states, like Texas, which have gained new seats.

    Under normal circumstances, I would expect the Republicans to lose between 10-15 seats. Given the state of the nation and the attitude of the voters, assuming there is not a marked improvement by Nov. 2012, I expect the Republicans to gain around 10 seats.

    If the wave is strong enough that the Republicans gain an additional 20+ house seats, you have to expect that they will manage to get to 60 Senate seats. Hard to imagine, but after the last two house elections, not impossible.

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