The Democrats’ Problem With White Voters

January 2, 2011
By

Election results in the South are presaging what is to come nationally:

In the November election, Democrats got around 25 percent of the white vote in Georgia, about 10 percentage points shy of what they need to be competitive in statewide races if they get a large African-American turnout, Abramowitz said. [emphasis mine.]

Unfortunately (for the nation, but fortunately for Republicans), I think an increasingly monolithic white vote will be a feature of future elections across the country, as Democrats cater more and more to their core racial constituencies.

That’s why the Midwest went so overwhelmingly Republican in 2010.

Every time Obama defends illegal immigrants, he sends more white voters fleeing into the arms of the GOP.

David Paul Kuhn has written about this phenomenon more extensively:

Democrats’ white problems stretch back nearly a half-century. Political white flight changed course with the implosion of George W. Bush’s presidency, the Republican Party and the economy in September 2008.

Today, it’s almost as if none of that ever came to pass. Democrats’ bad old days are back, and in an especially bad way.

Republicans won whites in Tuesday’s national House vote by a 22-percentage point margin (60 to 38 percent) according to exit polls. In 2006, Republicans won whites by a mere 4 points.

Democrats’ problems with whites reflect whites’ problems with Obama. Whites’ support for Democrats in 2010 roughly matches the president’s standing prior to the September 2008 crash. Before the crash, Obama polled like earlier Democratic nominees with whites. After the crash, Obama earned the support of more white men than any other Democrat since 1976. He also improved with white women, winning a traditional share for Democrats.

Those gains are gone. Obama’s approval rating with whites has declined from the low 60s (week one) to the high 30s (this week).

28 Responses to The Democrats’ Problem With White Voters

  1. ATTILA on January 2, 2011 at 10:41 am

    “The danger to America is not Barack Obama but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the Presidency. It will be far easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to a depraved electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails America. Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The Republic can survive a Barack Obama, who is, after all, merely a fool. It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools such as those who made him their president.”
    ~~anon

  2. […] the original: More Noah-like Election Results, This Time in Georgia | PoliPundit.com Share and […]

  3. serfer62 on January 2, 2011 at 1:16 pm

    “Unfortunately (for the nation, but fortunately for Republicans), I think an increasingly monolithic white vote will be a feature of future elections across the country”
    Why is it “unfortunate”, because they are white? So is a”monolithic” black vote good for the country?
    The originals of Polis garbage is that racism by whites are bad, racism by blacks is good…either of which cancels out and logic in this essay of crap…

  4. ATTILA on January 2, 2011 at 3:21 pm

    Why is it “unfortunate”, because they are white? So is a”monolithic” black vote good for the country?
    The originals of Polis garbage is that racism by whites are bad, racism by blacks is good…either of which cancels out and logic in this essay of crap

    serfer62

    Some folk think that”diversity” is a good thing.

  5. Arizona CJ on January 2, 2011 at 3:25 pm

    Back in the fall of 2008, I was having lunch with a friend of mine. She’s black, and had always been on the liberal democrat side, so I avoided raising the issue of the election.

    She floored me by saying, out of the blue, “I hope McCain wins. I hate his guts, but I’m voting for him.”

    Well, I loathed McCain (I voted for him in 2008 only as the lessor of evils) but I was surprised to hear a black liberal democrat say that.

    She told me her reason, too. One I’ll never forget. “I’m black, and electing Obama will set back racial relations in this country by twenty years!”.

    I see the 2010 vote demographics as further proof she was right.

  6. Doug on January 2, 2011 at 4:40 pm

    Okay, okay, you’ve been asking for the explanation………..RAAAACCCIISSST.

    Whew, got that done, now we can move along…..

  7. MikeN on January 2, 2011 at 4:49 pm

    The minority vote keeps increasing, so it is harder and harder with time for Republicans to win elections. TO counteract that, they need to either increase their share of the black vote, or maintain their share of the hispanic vote, or increase their share of the white vote. I don’t see much chance of the white vote going much higher. Illegal immigration issue risks turning hispanics into a block that votes 80-20 or more for Democrats, which would kill Republicans in other states just as it has killed them in Florida.

  8. Evan3457 on January 2, 2011 at 6:58 pm

    You mean the Florida in which the Republicans just won the governship.

    And the Senate seat, by selecting a conservative who happens to be a Latino?

    That Florida?

    Interesting theory.

  9. MikeN on January 2, 2011 at 7:06 pm

    Oops. I of course meant California. But yes, even in Florida, if Hispanic votes drop to California levels, Republicans are in major trouble.

  10. Mad Dog on January 2, 2011 at 8:03 pm

    MikeN’s insightful comments are in the glorious MikeyW (Sky King) tradition….

  11. AZ/BC on January 2, 2011 at 9:01 pm

    So, unless we play nice with La Raza and make illegals legal and eligible to vote (likely exclusively for Dems) the legal hispanics will continue to vote mostly Dem.

    Tough shit, let them.

  12. PoliPundit on January 2, 2011 at 9:21 pm

    Actually, in California, elections would be a toss-up even if you restricted the vote to persons of pallor.

    Similarly, Texas Republicans routinely win majorities of the Hispanic vote (e.g. In TX-23, TX-27.)

  13. setnaffa on January 2, 2011 at 9:42 pm

    “Aztlan” sucks. That’s why the illegals come north. To get away from the crap.

  14. Let's Not Mention That on January 3, 2011 at 7:00 am

    Release the Whitey Tape!

  15. edward on January 3, 2011 at 7:58 am

    Ok….. I get it I don’t like Democrat politics. I thought it was because they are socialistic and ultimately a destroyer of individual freedoms…… hmmmmm I guess that is all wrong it is because I am white and could not possibly know better.

  16. phineas gage on January 3, 2011 at 9:36 am

    It is always amazing to watch the MSM figures like Chris Matthews pontificate about supposed white racism, while in the next breath extolling the fact that 98% of blacks vote the same way on the explicit basis of race.

    When you’re that far down the rabbit hole, nothing will pull you back.

  17. Fact check on January 3, 2011 at 10:02 am

    98% of blacks vote the same way on the explicit basis of race.

    Please support that statement. Otherwise you pulled out of a different kind of rabbit hole.

  18. MikeN on January 3, 2011 at 10:05 am

    >MikeN’s insightful comments

    How’s that Joe Miller-Ken Buck-Sharron Angle-Christine ODonnell-Rand Paul tea party caucus working out for you?

  19. phineas gage on January 3, 2011 at 10:39 am

    OK, survey says….. 95%

    So I was off by three percentage points. I don’t think that substantively changes the point of my post.

    And suggests that perhaps you pulled something out of your rabbit hole.

  20. phineas gage on January 3, 2011 at 10:41 am

    Second try

    link

  21. phineas gage on January 3, 2011 at 10:45 am

    Now, to the supposition that this pattern of disparity in voting behavior was based on race, I don’t have hard evidence to prove it (although I don’t think a single rational person would believe that that did not have a lot to do with it–exit polls of blacks suggest as much).

    But that’s as much hard evidence as the MSM broadcasters have when they refer to ominous vague white racism. Such as their claim that the Tea Party was comprised of white racists–that was completely unsubstantiated and fabricated.

    That was the point of my post.

  22. ATTILA on January 3, 2011 at 11:03 am

    Fact check

    January 3rd, 2011 at 10:02 am
    98% of blacks vote the same way on the explicit basis of race.

    Please support that statement. Otherwise you pulled out of a different kind of rabbit hole.~~~fact check

    FACT: How many honkies are elected to office in hawaii?????( left wing abercrombie being the exception) Ditto for every major city???

  23. ATTILA on January 3, 2011 at 12:01 pm

    Year to date statistics on Airport screening from the Department of Homeland Security:

    Terrorist Plots Discovered 0
    Transvestites 133
    Hernia’s 1,485
    Hemorrhoid Cases 3,172
    Enlarged Prostates 8,249
    Breast Implants 59,350
    Natural Blondes

  24. Mad Dog on January 3, 2011 at 12:46 pm

    Without the Tea Party, the GOP would still be in the minority in the US House and at 43 seats in the US Senate. So, MikeN, your insightful comments are on the same order as those posted by the late, great MikeyW (better known as Sky King). Sorry you suck canal water, MikeN, but these things happen and we will pray for you.

  25. JD in HWC on January 3, 2011 at 3:21 pm

    So it’s agreed, then. MikeN sucks canal water.

  26. MikeN on January 4, 2011 at 11:45 am

    To put things another way, if voters had voted the same way as in 2008 racially, but the electorate was the same as in 1992 numerically, then McCain would have won the election, despite performing worse than Bush Sr. Obama’s victory came from an increase in minority voters.

  27. Adrian Hebden on January 4, 2011 at 1:49 pm

    I agree with JD in HWC–MikeN sucks canal water.

  28. Mad Dog on January 5, 2011 at 1:01 pm

    Looks like MikeN has run away, to cringe and cower for another day….

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *