$50 Million to be Spent on Dozens of House Races, Starting This Week!

October 13, 2010

This should move some numbers:

An alliance of Republican groups is launching a $50 million advertising blitz this week in a final push to help the GOP win a majority in the House, representing the biggest spending blitz ever by such groups in a congressional election campaign.

The coordinated effort, which the groups have dubbed the “House surge strategy,” tops what the official Republican House election committee expects to spend on television ads for the entire contest. It is aimed at the few dozen competitive races where Democratic candidates have significantly more money in the bank than their Republican opponents, eating into one of the Democrats’ last financial advantages.

Democratic candidates, notably incumbents, have raised more cash than many of their Republican rivals in this year’s most competitive House races, according to a Wall Street Journal tally of Federal Election Commission data. In the 40 races deemed toss-ups by the Cook Political Report, a political handicapper, Democratic candidates had a combined $39.3 million of cash on hand as of June 30, the most-recent filing deadline. Republican candidates had $16.5 million in the bank.

Steven Law, who runs two of the Republican organizations, American Crossroads and its affiliate Crossroads GPS, said the effort was “aimed at putting Republicans over the top by evening out the financial disparities and dramatically expanding the field of battle.”

35 Responses to $50 Million to be Spent on Dozens of House Races, Starting This Week!

  1. Gerry Owen on October 13, 2010 at 3:16 pm

    Wilson the Wife Beater should make that one a tossup. Dems are having to squander resources to protect the normally ‘safe” scumbags like Frank. I’m kicking up to 60 on the estimate for the House. I still do not see any real movement from the dingbat in CA and DE is a loss. CT needs to change their State motto to “Lie to Me” as “I’m a Soldier!” Blumenthal seems to be hanging on to a lead. NV is still too close to call, and Feingold historically is a late closer.
    Senate stays Dem, but we should get 8, enough to make it interesting and possibly get some Aisle crossers. There is a whole slew of Dem Senators up in 2012 who come from Red States who should be terrified. Landrieu, for one, will no longer be able to count on the Dead vote that got her elected originally since the machine their has cratered somewhat. Nelson from NE is still in heap big trouble as well.

    Plus, Dem control of Senate and Presidency means we should be able to run another insurgent campaign against DC.

    Things are looking well for now.

  2. Gerry Owen on October 13, 2010 at 3:40 pm

    I really think if they spent $500k or so in TX-25, Doggett would get beat. That is my under the radar pick- she is doing exceptionally well in the rural counties plus is winning the enthusiasm war in traditionally Liberal Hippie Austin.

  3. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 4:28 pm

    No way. We take a minimum of 11 Senate seats, and possibly 13. House, 65 or so, and that will be the disappointment, we could have had 100.

    But it’s not over yet. Find 10 House races and 2 or 4 Senate, and break open your wallet, because if you don’t, Ogabe will.

  4. anonymous un-RINO on October 13, 2010 at 4:36 pm

    The commies losing in Austin ?!

    Now THAT I’d have to see to believe, GO.

    Agreed on Senate control. I like the Left having nominal “control” there… makes it easier to clean house in 2012… and the Left can’t do much with that “control” in any event.

    No escaping R control in the House though. They’ll get it whether they want it or not.

  5. anonymous un-RINO on October 13, 2010 at 4:39 pm

    Although now that you mention it, I’ve been wondering about Dingell’s status here in the People’s Republic of Ann Arbor… and what the politburo thinks of him these days.

    If he don’t pick up 80% of the reds, the kulaks out in the fields are gonna purge him.

  6. Charlie Wilson on October 13, 2010 at 5:07 pm

    I live in Carter’s district just north of Austin- Dems didn’t even run a challenger. When ever I drive through S Austin, there are Campbell signs dotting lawns everywhere-hardly any for Doggett. I am sure Doggett will carry S Austin handily regardless, but will it be enough to offset the fired up deep red rural counties? Could be interesting.

    I am admittedly estimating Conservatively on the House, I prefer to happily surprised than disappointed. However, the Seante I am just not seeing it.
    I have ND,AR,IN in the bag with all R seats up as safe (although I have a tad bit of concern for NH and minor worries for MO).
    I also fully expect us to win 3 out of 4 of PA,WI, CO, & IL. (I’m not sold on Buck or Kirk being able to close the sale, Feingold always closes well,and you always have to sweat the politically corrupt vote machine known as Philedelphia).
    That is six.
    I think we will can probably expect to win 2 from CA,NV,CT,WV,WA.

    CA is obviously populated by idiots, and they may have their perfectly representative Senator in Boxer. I cannot figure out for the life of me why she is staying ahead.
    NV Reid SHOULD go down-this would have been a hell of a lot easier if they had picked Lowden.

    CT is just too damn Liberal and foolish. McMahon is running a great campaign and has closed the gap, so there is hope here.

    In WV, Manchin is extremely popular and well liked-this is being offset by how much Obama and the Dems are despised. Will that hold up? Even if we lose this one he will be a prime candidate to walk the aisle on a lot of votes-if not permanently.

    WA- The voting rules there are prime for fraud and shenanigans, but Rossi is a strong candidate. Murray can make a case for being the dumbest Senator (close competition with Babs Boxer and Debbie Stabenow). The State is pretty Lib on the coasts but not so much across the rockies-but no one really lives out there. Turnout is key, if Rossi doesn’t win by three points legit they will steal it like they did the Gubernatorial a couple cycles ago.

    That’s my thinking, have at it…

  7. Gerry Owen on October 13, 2010 at 5:08 pm

    Sock puppet, BEGONE! Last post was me…

  8. Trent Telenko on October 13, 2010 at 5:17 pm

    Landrieu is extremely bitter over the Obama oil drilling moratorium, as it killed her chances in 2012.

    Rumor control in Baton Rouge has it that Sen. Landrieu will not run in 2012 as a result.

    If you are looking for Senate line crossers, Sen. Landrieu should be at the top of your list.

  9. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 6:10 pm

    No, we take all the races we are leading in now.

    WA, NV, CT, narrow 3 point wins. Lowden was an unserious candidate, Im glad she was not the nominee. Tark would have done fine in all likelihood. ONce Reid is gone, Angle should settle in nicely for a few terms, and be a reliable conservative.

    We hold all open R seats by an average of 6 points. NH and MO are 4 point wins, OH, FL, are 8 pointers. AK, Miller by a nose.

    PA and WI are easy 5-6 point wins, probably more, could be 8. That’s 5 and ND AR IN make 8.

    We need 2 more. CO, that’s a 5 point win, and IL will be a close race, probably 2 points but we take that in the end too.

    That’s 10. WV is a 4 point win. that’s 11…

    We are going to have closer races in the senate than we otherwise would this year, because the Rs are newcomers and vulnerable to the Dem attack machine, and also because in several places, AK/FL/DE, they are running not only against the Dems but against the R establishment.

    Fight on.

    11 seats. And if the Commies keep yelling at the voters, we might get CA and DE too.

    You wonder what would have to happen for NY to flip.

  10. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 6:13 pm

    And in 2012, we will be pushing for 60 Senate seats, and if things keep on as they are, we’ll get them too.

    We could easily pick up 10-12 in 2012.

    Bye Mary Landrieu, Bye Nelson NE, and Nelson FL. You finally did it to yourselves.

  11. anonymous un-RINO on October 13, 2010 at 6:22 pm

    No way… Obambi is gonna save them all in 2012.

    Him, his teleprompter and a super sized government.

    The Messiah will ride again, greek temple columns and all.

    He’ll save Stabenow, too.

    This is just a minor detour this time. You’ll see. You’ll ALL see, you bitter clingers.

  12. Gerry Owen on October 13, 2010 at 6:25 pm

    Hope you are right. I always put on the pessimist hat, easier to see the challenges.
    My point on Lowden (or Tark, for that matter) is they would have had an easier go of it beating Reid, and they are both solid conservatives-yeah, Angle is more closer to my viewpoint, but I would have been happy with someone who agrees with me 89% of the time and a shoo-in vs someone I agree with 95% of the time and the dogfight we are in out there.

    I am all about tossing RINOs when we can, (Castle my as well have been a damn democrat, and Alaska can and should do better than Murkowski), but dumping electable conservatives is risky- Angle is a gamble, but she has a high upside if she pulls it out, and I think she should. But it is at a high cost of resources we could have used elsewhere.

  13. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 6:39 pm

    11, in the Senate, bank it, even though the wins will be tougher than they should have been for several reasons.

    And I think it’s gonna get worse, not better, for the GDLCs before election day. They have nowhere to go but down.

  14. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 6:43 pm

    Predicting 65-70 in the house, and we will leave 20-30 more seats on the table that we should have won.

    For this once, Morris is right, the GOP is shooting too low.

  15. Gerry Owen on October 13, 2010 at 6:49 pm

    I think the GOP has been pissing off their base for far too long. People are contributing directly to candidates and conservative interest groups rather than the RNC and its affiliated committees. They are shooting low because that is all they can support.

    We have to do the rest.

  16. Brucefdb on October 13, 2010 at 6:50 pm

    I agree with Yahoo’s House predictions….the Senate there are too many close ones where fraud will play a role…..i.e. we keep counting til we win.
    Wi, Wa, Il, Nv, Ca, WV all fall into this category. Maybe it is harder to cheat in an off year, we will see.

  17. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 7:24 pm

    The amazing thing is how far gone America is. Voting is a pretty passive act, and if you cannot even vote for a conservative, you’ll never, ever fight in any way for your freedom, or that of your children.

    America is at the verge of exploding into a million pieces, and people are WONDERING what they should do.

    They are WONDERING if they need lower spending and taxes, and they are WONDERING if its too mean to enforce immigration laws. Really? Awww, can’t we just offer the illegals citizenship? Please? We want to be nice, after all. We want to put our necks on the chopping block, you know. Because we all have the survival instinct of turnips.

    And those are the Republicans.

    The Democrats actually want to go pedal to the metal the other way, to total annihilation of the rights-based civil society and to a Nietschean dictatorship.

    I remain pessimistic overall. Whatever happens in three weeks will not move the needle much, nor last long.

    Americans actively want to live like swine. Republicans too. In fact some of them most of all.

    Well, they will get their wish.

  18. rightwingyahoo on October 13, 2010 at 7:30 pm

    Whether we take the House or the Senate is really not the point. The fact that it’s even in question, at this late hour, shows how utterly ambivalent Americans are about their own survival.

    And to make matters worse, the Republican leadership, and all the way down to at least half the Republican base, has absolutely no idea what to do to save the country.

    I know, Lets offer illegals a path to citizenship! That’ll save us. Let’s flip a few states blue, since we have so many electoral votes to give away, that is…

    Let’s cut spending back to 2008 levels.

    What a joke. Spending should be cut to 1990 levels, not greenhouse gases.

    The bell tolls. The people WONDER what they should do, while the country burns to the ground.

  19. invalid10 on October 13, 2010 at 7:38 pm
  20. Brucefdb on October 13, 2010 at 7:49 pm

    Couldn’t agree more RWY, but my Faith says we win in the end.

  21. invalid10 on October 13, 2010 at 8:18 pm
  22. MikeN on October 13, 2010 at 8:25 pm

    The House has never flipped without the Senate also flipping.
    Most recent Senate Polls, pulled from National REview’S Battle 2010

    California Boxer (D) +16 Angus-Reid
    Colorado Bennet (D) +3 HSR
    Connecticut Blumenthal (D) +6 Fox/POR
    Delaware Coons (D) +21 SurveyUSA
    Washington Murray (D) +15 Elway
    West Virginia Raese (R) +3 Rasmussen
    Illinois Giannoulias (D)/Kirk (R) Even SIU
    Kentucky Paul (R) +3 CN|2/Braun
    Nevada Angle (R) +1 Rasmussen
    New Hampshire Ayotte (R) +7 Rasmussen
    Florida Rubio (R) +14 Quinnipiac
    Missouri Blunt (R) +13 CNN/Time/ORC
    Ohio Portman (R) +23 Rasmussen
    Pennsylvania Toomey (R) +7 MCall/Muhlenberg

  23. invalid10 on October 13, 2010 at 10:53 pm
  24. MikeN on October 13, 2010 at 11:16 pm

    Charlie Cook has the West Virginia race listed as Republicans’ 46th Senate seat.

  25. anonymous un-RINO on October 14, 2010 at 4:53 am

    FUN FACT via George Will: Curtis Gans, director of the Center for the Study of the American Electorate, reports that this year, for the first time since 1930, more Republicans — nearly 4 million more — than Democrats voted in midterm primaries.

    These primary challenges have been a wonderful thing. We’ve all been sitting on our asses for far too long, watching incumbents walk back into office. Then suddenly, the electorate flushed out whole swaths of them in the general elections of ’06, ’08 and now in ’10. But they’re only doing what probably should have been done in many of these earlier primaries.

    The Left, too, has been complacent. In that earlier Senate election in 1980 I mentioned, 4 (four) D Senators were primaried out. Quite remarkable, but not many since then, I bet.

    So we have long term incumbents, snuggling up together. They become “good friends”, and crooks like Kennedy and Hatch join together as “friends” to bankrupt the country.

    Flush them regularly, and there won’t be this perverse “friendship”. There will be bipartisanship when necessary and beneficial, absent the distorted entanglements of long term incumbency. Genuine professional comity might better come to the fore. New faces, addressing issues discretely, without the incumbency overlay.

    The beauty of all this recent engagement is that those voters BETTER see some positive change… or else there’ll be new faces next time, too.

    And despite their transient losses this cycle, the intelligent Left should be able to acknowledge the benefits of this recent phenomenon.

  26. phineas gage on October 14, 2010 at 5:18 am

    Agree, rwy. Mark Levin spoke to this point recently as well, stating that the election is merely the beginning of a very hard, long slog whose outcome is uncertain at best. A GOP majority is fine, but many of those GOP members need to be removed and replaced by conservatives.

    Anyways, I’ve said 75/11 for better than two months now. If we get that I’ll be happy, if we exceed it I’ll be pleasantly surprised.

  27. phineas gage on October 14, 2010 at 5:29 am

    I liked this a lot.

  28. phineas gage on October 14, 2010 at 5:30 am

    And this, although it’s scary as hell.

  29. Wii the People on October 14, 2010 at 6:08 am

    I’ve said 75/11 for better than two months now. If we get that I’ll be happy, if we exceed it I’ll be pleasantly surprised.

    If we exceed 75/11, I might just move forward with plans to take out a $50,000 home improvement loan and put a lot of eager contractors to work.

    Embrace the Recovery!!


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