Triage: DCCC giving up on North Dakota, Pennsylvania Races

September 14, 2010

The DCCC is throwing Congressman Earl Pomeroy (D-ND) to the wolves, despite his vote for Obamacare. They’ve cancelled two weeks of ads just before the election.

Also, they’re cutting back in Northeast Pennsylvania, where Reps. Chris Carney (D) and Paul Kanjorski (D) committed political suicide by voting for Obamacare.

10 Responses to Triage: DCCC giving up on North Dakota, Pennsylvania Races

  1. MikeN on September 14, 2010 at 12:36 pm

    Yup, they are willing to sacrifice seats to pass their agenda. They just need enough seats to prevent repeal.

  2. MikeN on September 14, 2010 at 12:37 pm

    So if these guys had voted the other way, the result would be 216-215, and Pelosi would have gotten one of the other no votes to change their mind. Some other Dems get to keep their seats because these guys blinked first.

  3. phineas gage on September 14, 2010 at 1:30 pm

    Perhaps they drew straws.

  4. Trent Telenko on September 14, 2010 at 2:18 pm

    What we are seeing here:

    …is the DCCC reacting to just one of the “top of the ballot electoral collapses” in progress as Toomey and the Republican governor candidate (blanking on his name) run up the score and kill down ballot Democratic House candidates.

    Here is a list of other states where you are soon going to see DCCC money leaving the table:

    Georgia: Johnny Isakson +12 over Michael Thurmond per Insider Advantage for WSB. MoE 4.

    Louisiana: David Vitter +12 over Charlie Melancon per Clarus Research Group for WWL and other Louisiana stations. MoE 4.

    Arkansas: John Boozman +38 over Blanche Lincoln per Rasmussen Reports. MoE 4.

    The best performing Democratic Mid-Western governors is Ted Strictland of Ohio and he is getting killed. Which is why the Ohio Senate and House races is going Republican in a big way at the same time.

    If you lay out the pattern of Republican Gov/Senator blow outs on a map posr Nov 2, 2010. You will see states with a 89% or higher wipe out of of “toss up” Democratic House seats and above average numbers (50-75%) of “Leans Democratic” House seats going Republican.

    A serious poli-sci guy trying to handicap the races for the day of the election would probably be able to come up with a pretty good correction to the basic estimate by looking at past electoral histories of that.

  5. anonymous un-RINO on September 14, 2010 at 2:50 pm

    Add Michigan to your above Midwestern hit-list. Snyder is annihilating his labor union funded opponent in the governor race, and the AG and SoS races are looking equally lopsided. By your methodologies then, 3 House seats should flip in Michigan minimum.

    I just wish Stabenow was on the ballot this year. She’d be toast.

  6. bobo on September 14, 2010 at 3:29 pm

    MN is f**ked.

  7. Global Cooling on September 14, 2010 at 6:32 pm

    They just need enough seats to prevent repeal

    That seems irrelevant now since it’s a well known fact that there is no severance clause in the HCR bill – and now – if even one portion is found invalid, then the entire bill dies.

    No about of seats can protect HCR of how it is likely to fall apart in the courts…

    Maybe next time, you idiot libs will read the bill
    😆 😆 😆

  8. Global Cooling on September 14, 2010 at 6:33 pm

    about = amount

  9. Aaron on September 14, 2010 at 8:56 pm

    I live in Northeastern Pa. I’m not convinced that Marino can beat Carney. Carney has a HUGE cash advantage.

  10. Deborah Mills Errede on November 1, 2010 at 11:22 pm

    The 2010 midterm elections tend to be here, and most expect Republicans to produce big gains in both chambers of Congress. While prevailing opinion holds the fact that GOP will take covering the House of Representatives, there are numerous dissenters among national politicians. The Senate outlook is a lot more messy, but it is normally accepted that Republicans skin a steeper climb to take back the upper chamber.