If Christine O’Donnell were to win today, here’s how I’d rank the likelihood that we’ll take over Democrat-held Senate seats.
I’d move CA up two notches, but otherwise I agree with your assessment.
Still think we are hovering around 7-8.
If my eyes don’t mistake me, you ain’t showing a distinct blue tint until seat #13, at the bottom. That is exactly how I have this election pegged.
Some quibbles: You should likely drop WV down, as it’s just a huge mountain to climb there.
And move California above Conn, at least, as Conn is just a suburb of New York. But in a true wave election, Cali is gonna blow sky high. Watch for it.
Unfortunately, you may have to kick Nevada down a bit, as Reid is funded almost beyond comprehension. He’s a bum, but has enough cash to turn Mother Theresa into the Devil, and that just might pull it out for him. I’m guessing not, but still…
Nevada nearly has a 15% unemployment rate. It’s foreclosure rate is the highest in the nation.
I doubt there’s enough cash in the world to get around facts like those. Unless Nevadans are all gullible simpletons.
If two out of three in the group of Washington-California-Wisconsin fall, I’ll be satisfied.
I think Murray will lose.
Somehow I don’t think Boxer will. More’s the pity.
If ODonnell wins, I’d put NY and Oregon ahead of her, as well as probably Vermont and Maryland.