Top 10 Senate Takeover Opportunities Are all Democrat Seats!

September 10, 2010
By

Not even the Lying Liberal Media can cover for the Democrats anymore. Here’s MSNBC’s First Read on the top 10 Senate pickup opportunities:

Chew on this: Right now, Republicans have a better chance of flipping West Virginia’s Senate seat than Democrats have in picking up the one in Ohio. In fact, this is our first Top 10 Senate takeover list this cycle where we don’t have a single Dem pick-up opportunity. According to this list, Republicans — right now — would gain a minimum of five seats. Yet to take control of the chamber, they’d need to win all 10 on the list (or win a substitute outside the Top 10). The number in parentheses is our ranking from last month.

1. North Dakota (1): Get ready to ho-down with Republican John Hoeven (R); yes, we’re running out of Hoeven puns. Ranking: Solid GOP.
2. Delaware (2): Does Mike Castle (R) survive his primary against Christine O’Donnell (R)? The GOP’s likelihood of winning this seat depends on it. Ranking (with Castle as nominee): Probable GOP.
3. Arkansas (3): Bill Clinton campaigned this week for incumbent Blanche Lincoln (D), but it’s unlikely to change the dynamics of her race against John Boozman (R). Ranking: Probable GOP.
4. Indiana (4): Speaking of being able to change the dynamics, Brad Ellsworth (D) hasn’t caught up to Dan Coats (R). Ranking: Probable GOP.
5. Pennsylvania (5): After being dormant for the last couple of months, Joe Sestak’s (D) campaign has become more active, with Biden and Obama set to stump for him later this month. Right now, though, this is Pat Toomey’s (R) race to lose. Ranking: Lean GOP.
6. Illinois (7): The Alexi Giannoulias (D)-vs.-Mark Kirk (R) contest remains what we consider to be the truest 50%-50% race out there. Ranking: Toss Up.
7. Colorado (unranked): The Ken Buck (R)-vs.-Michael Bennet (D) race is close to being a pure 50%-50% race, too. Which force will be greater — the overall political environment, or the GOP’s woes in the state? Ranking: Toss Up.
8. Nevada (8): Now we enter the contests where Democrats might have an advantage by a fingernail. But the Harry Reid (D)-vs.Sharron Angle (R) race is going to close. Fasten your seatbelts. Ranking: Toss Up.
9. Wisconsin (unranked): As was the case in ‘98, Russ Feingold (D) is fighting for his political life. What makes this time more difficult for him is that this political environment is much different than ’98 was. Ranking: Toss Up.
10. Washington (10): If Republicans indeed catch a wave on Election Night, we’ll be pulling an all-nighter watching the returns from the Patty Murray (D)-vs.-Dino Rossi (R) race. Ranking: Toss Up.

*** Nos. 11-21 (in order): California (Toss Up), Florida (Toss Up), Missouri (Lean R), Kentucky (Lean R), West Virginia (Lean D), Ohio (Lean R), New Hampshire (Lean R), Connecticut (Lean D), North Carolina (Probable R), Louisiana (Probable R), Alaska (Probable R).

16 Responses to Top 10 Senate Takeover Opportunities Are all Democrat Seats!

  1. Dismantle Obamacare on September 10, 2010 at 7:09 pm

    I am getting nervous. This all too good to be true. We cannot take anything for granted!

    I saw that Linda Mac is down 9 in CT and her faves are 49/49. I hope she can turn that around – I think she has run a great campaign!

  2. MikeN on September 10, 2010 at 8:54 pm

    Having the top 10 opportunities be Democrats doesn’t mean 10 lose. It could still be a loss of 0, with the top 10 Democrats being the closest races.

  3. MikeN on September 11, 2010 at 12:07 am

    I wonder how the list changes if Murkowski mounts a write-in campaign.
    Probably not much, as it was a 70-30 win to begin with.

  4. anonymous un-RINO on September 11, 2010 at 5:08 am

    They can get to 10 without that RINO idiot Castle, and 10 isn’t the most important consideration in any event. As of today, Obambi is stopped colder than a grave digger’s ass, as it appears the floor for House turnover is well above the 39 required. A 5-6 seat Senate gain is more than acceptable for the requisite purposes, and it will likely be more than that in any event.

    I’m predicting the largest post-war House turnover, and have been thinking for months now that it could conceivably go into 3 figures. People in the mainstream really do hate what’s going on.

    In Michigan, commie central, the grass roots beheaded establishment RINOs in the state legislature primaries. All the RINOs endorsed their beclowned favorites in my district, and they got whacked. It was just a beautiful thing. And the Left’s statewide candidates are being overwhelmingly ignored.

    If this mood is representative of the country’s, and I’m fairly certain it is, a 100 seat US House flip is within reach. The polls can’t possibly show this trend, so you’d have to be on the ground in a lot of places to get whether it’s truly gonna happen. But again, in Michigan, even John Dingell is worried. He’s old, and the lefty establishment has always hated him. If his seat flips, it’ll mean that at least 4 lefty seats in Michigan have flipped.

    4 down, in just one state. That’s how you get to 100+.

  5. phineas gage on September 11, 2010 at 5:50 am

    IDMP returns.

  6. ATTILA on September 11, 2010 at 6:11 am

    still having those headaches??

  7. Let's Not Get Our Hopes Up About November on September 11, 2010 at 6:39 am

    The Republican base has vetoed NRSC Chairman John Cornyn’s choices in Florida, Utah, Alaska, Colorado, and Kentucky.

    >–FULL-STEAM-AHEAD–>

  8. phineas gage on September 11, 2010 at 6:57 am

    Said the cat to the steamroller.

  9. Lurkingman on September 11, 2010 at 8:40 am

    Happy Sept 11! The day in 2001 where the goals of wingnuts and terrorists converged. Best thing to ever happen to the Republican party. Rejoice, this is your day!!!

  10. phineas gage on September 11, 2010 at 9:26 am

    As I recall, both terrorists and leftists celebrated together, the former more openly than the latter.

    Democrats weakened the nation and encouraged the attack. Republicans directed the response and defended the nation from further attack.

    You are one sick dude. Ingest harder drugs more frequently.

  11. Global Cooling on September 11, 2010 at 9:45 am

    Happy Sept 11! The day in 2001 where the goals of wingnuts and terrorists converged. Best thing to ever happen to the Republican party. Rejoice, this is your day!!!
    ~ LurkingFOOL
    — — —

    Typical comment from an idiot liberal hater

    The Democrat Party:
    • Defending those who Attack America
    • Attacking those who Defend America

    :roll:

    So, if September 11th “our” day
    …then what is “your” day???

    Oh wait — let me guess:

    :shock: October 29, 1929 :shock:

    That figures, since you liberal fools only seem to embrace financial ruin and hardship, and don’t have the slightest clue about how to run an economy (except straight into the ground – of course).

    By the way, why did you slink & cower :cry: away from your idiotic comments about your liberal Ponzi pyramid scheme being ”Viable”??

    Bravo, coward

  12. Jay on September 11, 2010 at 11:00 am

    The day in 2001 where the goals

    Of liberalism were realized. In the minds of stupids like you, America is just another country, and of course you believe America got what she deserved on this day 9 years ago.

    By the way, it was fantastic to see the Indonesian Imbecile you voted for defend the ground zero mosque yesterday.

    We all know where his sympathies lie, same place as yours…

  13. MikeN on September 11, 2010 at 12:32 pm

    >As of today, Obambi is stopped colder than a grave digger’s ass, as it appears the floor for House turnover is well above the 39 required. A 5-6 seat Senate gain is more than acceptable for the requisite purposes, and it will likely be more than that in any event.

    So what? The left would consider that a successful presidency, with his passage of health care takeover, on top of financial industry regulation, EPA action on carbon emissions, repealing the Bush tax hikes, etc.
    Do you consider it a success to have all those things passed, and finishing with fewer Republican seats than 15 years ago?

  14. Global Cooling on September 11, 2010 at 6:21 pm

    MikeyW…

    Dumpster diving again…??? LOL!!!!!!! :lol:
    ~~ Don’t you have anything else better to do than to pathetically pour salve on your countless liberal wounds??

    It’s quite clear that you have finally reached the point where you’re now digging through the garbage trying to justify whatever tiny little scraps you can find (Pathetic!)

    What a pitiable insignificant wretch you’ve become… :lol:

    • How are you going to feel after HCR is repealed??
    • How are you going to feel after HCR is defeated at the SCOTUS??
    • How are you going to feel after the post Jimm’ah Carter years are reborn??
    • How are you going to feel after you liberal fools are cast into the outer wilderness for a generation, or more, because of your foolish leader’s massive overreach??

    Oh, pretty please…
    …Please come back after the election and let us know how the beginning of the end tastes in your mouth — you history revisionist liar, fraud and jester-like fool.

    By the way…

    We laugh at your liberal misery…
    We laugh that you are now grasping at straws…

    Suck on your failure fool ~~ and embrace the non-existent liberal recovery!!

    :lol: :lol: :lol:

  15. anonymous un-RINO on September 12, 2010 at 7:44 am

    “So what? The left would consider that a successful presidency, with his passage of health care takeover, on top of financial industry regulation, EPA action on carbon emissions, repealing the Bush tax hikes, etc.
    Do you consider it a success to have all those things passed, and finishing with fewer Republican seats than 15 years ago?”

    .

    .

    All that was going to happen through Obama or McLiar, as we conservatives well know. Not to mention, McLiar would have capped it all off with not just EPA action, but full scale Cap and Tax, and 15 million illegal immigrant voters. All with full RINO support, of course.

    The RINOs would consider that a successful presidency as well, same as their soulmates on the Left.

    I don’t care how many RINO seats are in place, because RINOs are true leftists, despite the shrieking here in RINO Central to the contrary.

    That’s why beheading that Castle idiot is so important, and it does appear that we conservatives have coalesced around that sensible idea.

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