The Electoral College
By PoliPundit ~ May 16th, 2005 @ 5:47 am
As I’ve noted before, population trends in the country increasingly favor the red states. This will have its impact on the electoral college:
The shift isn’t precipitous, but it appears inexorable. In 2004, Bush won 286 electoral college votes, while Democrat John F. Kerry tallied 252 (with 270 needed for victory). [demographer William H.] Frey projects that after the 2010 census, four electoral college votes will shift from Kerry states to Bush states.Even a change that subtle could have dramatic consequences. In 2004, as Kerry reminds audiences, the senator from Massachusetts could have won the White House by moving Ohio to his column; by Frey’s projections, that would no longer be true in 2012 (partly because Ohio would fall from 20 to 18 electoral college votes).
Add this to the fact that, in 2004, Bush carried 255 House districts, and enough states to elect 62 senators, and its not much fun to be a Democrat politician today.
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