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The Nothing’s-Changed Theory

13
May 26, 2016
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Given recent polling, I need to add a fifth theory to my Four Theories of Donald Trump:

5. The Nothing’s-Changed Theory
The nation is still closely divided along ideological and demographic lines, and Trump will lose to Hillary by about the same margins that Kerry lost to Bush and Romney lost to Obama.

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

88
May 24, 2016
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Then the president will have said of a former POW:

“I like people who weren’t captured.”

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

5
May 23, 2016
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Trump Leads Hillary by 2 in WaPo Poll

11
May 22, 2016
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If Donald Trump Becomes President…

4
May 22, 2016
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Prescient Video of the Day

50
May 21, 2016
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So I’m watching a show called Dead Like Me, and Donald Trump shows up in a prescient episode from 2004:

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

18
May 21, 2016
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The president will have speculated about dating his daughter.

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

83
May 20, 2016
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Trump Leads Clinton in New Polls

11
May 19, 2016
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By 3 points and 5 points.

This is worrying for Clinton because she can barely break 40 percent despite universal name recognition.

It’s also worrying for Trump because the low forties may be either a floor or a ceiling on his support.

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

2
May 19, 2016
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The president will have supported touchback amnesty.

Trump to Turn Republican National Convention into Must-See TV

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May 18, 2016
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There are advantages to nominating a reality TV star:

“Announcing the vice presidential nominee before the convention is like announcing winner of ‘Celebrity Apprentice’ before the final show is on the air,” one Trump campaign source said. “This is one of the only opportunities to create tension and drama in the whole show. You better believe Mr. Trump understands that and is looking to maximize that.”

Whereas the vice presidential nominee has generally spoken on the third night of the convention and the presidential candidate has taken the stage on the fourth and final night, Trump is considering a scenario that puts him on stage, delivering remarks on all four nights, reaching millions of potential voters, and driving ratings, according to one source.

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

8
May 18, 2016
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Then the president will have said of a female reporter:

“You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes. Blood coming out of her wherever.”

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

10
May 17, 2016
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Then the president will have opposed vaccinating your children.

Chart of the Day

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May 16, 2016
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Support for leaving the EU surged in Britain after Obama endorsed the EU.
20160511_brexit

If Donald Trump Becomes President…

4
May 16, 2016
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