Blog Archives

The Backlash

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August 13, 2003
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About thirteen hours ago I wrote: This do-what-you-want-but-don’t-tell-me-about-it majority of Americans has become increasingly nervous with the number of gay-themed shows on TV, Canada’s legalization of gay marriage, the recent Supreme Court decision making gay sex a part of the constitution and even the gay Episcopalian Bishop story. Their unease is showing up as...

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How a Bill Becomes Law

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August 13, 2003
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Want to know how a bill becomes law? Your questions are answered here.

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The Cheesesteak

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August 13, 2003
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John Kerry, Man of the People.

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The Massachussetts Decision

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August 13, 2003
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In all the hoopla over “16 words,” Howard Dean, the California recall and the “Iraq Quagmire” stories, the liberal media seems to have brushed aside a key story that is waiting in the wings – the Massachussetts Supreme Court decision that will legalize gay marriage in the next few days/weeks. The decision will have...

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Arnold’s Wilson Strategy

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August 13, 2003
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As I’ve noted before, Arnold Schwarzenegger’s political beliefs are those of a Soccer Mom. David Horowitz says that Arnold might well follow the Pete Wilson strategy, which is unafraid to emphasize conservative positions that can win with Soccer Moms: This is a state, it should never be forgotten, that has a million more registered...

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The Arnold Web Site

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August 12, 2003
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Arnold’s finally got himself a campaign web site. It’s a temporary web site that looks remarkably like the George W. Bush temporary web site.

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The Key States in 2004

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August 12, 2003
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Check out Larry Sabato’s analysis of which states the president should focus on in 2004. It’s a good follow-up to his analysis a month earlier of the Democrats’ electoral college prospects.

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Overwhelming his Opponents

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August 12, 2003
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USA Today has a story on how the president plans to overwhelm his Democratic opponent. It’s a fair piece, but misses a crucial element of the Bush strategy – the brilliant scheduling of the 2004 Republican national convention for maximum advantage.

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President’s Approval Ratings Back Up

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August 12, 2003
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As I predicted just before Uday and Qusay were killed, the president’s job approval ratings are recovering from the slight dip they took in July. When the Massachussetts Supreme Court legalizes gay marriage in the coming days/weeks, expect a public backlash to benefit Republicans, raising the president’s standing even more.

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Fuzzy Math

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August 11, 2003
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Just before the 2002 elections, a poll of likely voters showed Republicans surging ahead of Democrats by 7 points on the generic congressional ballot. The Old York Times buried the number in paragraph 6 of a story entitled “In Poll, Americans Say Both Parties Lack Clear Vision.” Some analysts, like, ahem, me, made much...

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Pathetic Spectacle

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August 11, 2003
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David Tell has a telling account of the pathetic spectacle that was the AFL-CIO’s Democratic presidential candidates forum.

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Could the Ballot Decide?

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August 11, 2003
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Could the California recall election be decided by the format of the ballot? As you’ve probably heard, the ballot will feature candidates in a random order. To mix things up some more, the order will be rotated by assembly district. This unusual ballot format could decide who becomes Gray Davis’s replacement. Some plausible theories:...

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Finally!

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August 11, 2003
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Finally! A Human Shield is being called to account for her treachery: A retired schoolteacher who went to Iraq to serve as a “human shield” against the U.S. invasion is facing thousands of dollars in U.S. government fines, which she is refusing to pay. The U.S. Department of the Treasury said in a March...

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Looking Gubernatorial

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August 11, 2003
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From my Thursday post on the likely Gray Davis strategy: I predict he’ll take a very different tack than the one he took in 2002. He’s going to appear at press conferences looking all grave and governor-like, talking about arcane issues and legislation that would bore you to tears. He’s going to run positive...

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Democratic Woes

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August 11, 2003
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The Washington Post notes that Democrats are unlikely to take back the House in 2004 because of gerrymandering. But regular PoliPundit readers already knew that. The real battle is in Senate races. Republicans are well-poised to significantly increase their Senate majority, as you can see from my 2004 Senate analysis. UPDATE: Business Week on...

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