- The Reagan Theory Trump will Make America Great Again.
- The Schwarzenegger Theory Much like Arnold Schwarzenegger in California and Jesse Ventura in Minnesota, Trump is an unusual candidate whose sheer charisma will cut across ideological lines and win him a landslide victory. But he will prove to have no principles other than self-aggrandizement.
- The Goldwater Theory Hillary Clinton will run an LBJ-Goldwater-style “Daisy” commercial, and crush Trump by 20 points, because Trump has alienated too many voters.
- The Buffoon Theory During the campaign, Trump will make some outrageous statements about vaccines, or Putin, or women, be exposed as a fraud in one or more of his “businesses,” and be annihilated in the general election. Everyone will wonder how he ever won the Republican nomination. There will be calls to make the presidential primaries less democratic.
I hope for 1, but suspect 4 is the most likely outcome. Trump supporters expect 1 or 2.